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New green homes in the UK put less strain on the grid than models predicted

A study of some of the first net-zero-ready homes in the UK has found that their peak grid power demand is far lower than planners had anticipated. The research confirms that these all-electric homes can significantly cut energy use and emissions.

Buildings account for around 37% of global energy-related emissions, with residential properties making up approximately 17% of that total. In 2019, the UK government set an ambitious target to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. To help meet it, the Future Homes Standard requires all new homes built from 2025 to cut their by 75% to 80%.

Fully electric homes use technologies like air-source heat pumps (ASHPs) for heating (by extracting heat from outdoor air) and solar PV panels for electricity generation. But the big question has been whether they work as promised and achieve their energy efficiency goals in the real world.

All-In’s 2026 Predictions

Questions to inspire discussion.

💰 Q: What would California’s wealth tax cost super voting shareholders like Larry Page and Sergey Brin? A: The tax multiplies voting ownership percentage by market cap to value super voting shares, resulting in a punitive tax rate of up to 50% on net worth for founders with control premiums.

🏃 Q: How much wealth could leave California if the asset seizure tax passes? A: An estimated half a trillion dollars in net worth could exit the state, creating severe budget implications for California’s social programs and general budget.

📊 Q: What should entrepreneurs do to prepare for potential wealth taxes on unrealized gains? A: Maintain a liquid safety net to cover tax bills on unrealized gains, though this is impossible to plan for if stock values later decline and bankrupt the company.

2026 Business Opportunities.

🤖 Q: Which company will become the first with more robots than humans? A: Amazon is predicted to become the first company with more robots than humans driving its bottom line by 2026 as they deploy robots while keeping human hiring flat.

Continue reading “All-In’s 2026 Predictions” | >

The 2026 Timeline: AGI Arrival, Safety Concerns, Robotaxi Fleets & Hyperscaler Timelines | 221

The 2026 Timeline: AGI Arrival, Safety Concerns, Robotaxi Fleets & Hyperscaler Timelines ## The rapid advancement of AI and related technologies is expected to bring about a transformative turning point in human history by 2026, making traditional measures of economic growth, such as GDP, obsolete and requiring new metrics to track progress ## ## Questions to inspire discussion.

Measuring and Defining AGI

🤖 Q: How should we rigorously define and measure AGI capabilities? A: Use benchmarks to quantify specific capabilities rather than debating terminology, enabling clear communication about what AGI can actually do across multiple domains like marine biology, accounting, and art simultaneously.

🧠 Q: What makes AGI fundamentally different from human intelligence? A: AGI represents a complementary, orthogonal form of intelligence to human intelligence, not replicative, with potential to find cross-domain insights by combining expertise across fields humans typically can’t master simultaneously.

📊 Q: How can we measure AI self-awareness and moral status? A: Apply personhood benchmarks that quantify AI models’ self-awareness and requirements for moral treatment, with Opus 4.5 currently being state-of-the-art on these metrics for rigorous comparison across models.

AI Capabilities and Risks.

Continue reading “The 2026 Timeline: AGI Arrival, Safety Concerns, Robotaxi Fleets & Hyperscaler Timelines | 221” | >

Why SpaceX Is Worth Trillions With Only $15B of Revenue

SpaceX’s valuation has the potential to reach $1.5 trillion due to its innovative technologies, including reusable rockets, Starship, and Starlink, which could revolutionize the space industry and unlock massive growth opportunities in areas such as satellite connectivity, data centers, and computing ## Questions to inspire discussion.

Starship Production & Economics.

🚀 Q: What is SpaceX’s Starship production target and cost reduction goal? A: SpaceX plans to manufacture 1,000 Starships per year by 2030 (with aspirational goals of 10,000 per year), reducing launch costs to $10/kg through fully reusable vehicles achieving 99% reliability and 30 flights per booster.

🎯 Q: When will Starship begin commercial payload launches? A: Starship is currently in testing phase with proven relighting, PEZ dispenser deployment, and large payload capacity, expected to achieve commercial readiness as reliability approaches 99% through iterative flight testing.

Starlink V3 Revenue Model.

💰 Q: What revenue will Starlink V3 generate for SpaceX? A: Starlink V3 constellation will generate $250B revenue with 50% profit margins, representing 90–95% of SpaceX’s revenue over the next 5 years according to Mach33 and ARK Invest modeling.

Continue reading “Why SpaceX Is Worth Trillions With Only B of Revenue” | >

Elon Musk on AGI Timeline, US vs China, Job Markets, Clean Energy & Humanoid Robots

Questions to inspire discussion.

🤖 Q: How quickly will AI and robotics replace human jobs? A: AI and robotics will do half or more of all jobs within the next 3–7 years, with white-collar work being replaced first, followed by blue-collar labor through humanoid robots.

🏢 Q: What competitive advantage will AI-native companies have? A: Companies that are entirely AI-powered will demolish competitors, similar to how a single manually calculated cell in a spreadsheet makes it unable to compete with entirely computer-based spreadsheets.

💼 Q: What forces companies to adopt more AI? A: Companies using more AI must outcompete those using less, creating a forcing function for increased AI adoption, as inertia currently keeps humans doing AI-capable tasks.

📊 Q: How much of enterprise software development can AI handle autonomously? A: Blitzy, an AI platform using thousands of specialized agents, autonomously handles 80%+ of enterprise software development, increasing engineering velocity 5x when paired with human developers.

Energy and Infrastructure.

Continue reading “Elon Musk on AGI Timeline, US vs China, Job Markets, Clean Energy & Humanoid Robots” | >

Transparent Tribe Launches New RAT Attacks Against Indian Government and Academia

The threat actor known as Transparent Tribe has been attributed to a fresh set of attacks targeting Indian governmental, academic, and strategic entities with a remote access trojan (RAT) that grants them persistent control over compromised hosts.

“The campaign employs deceptive delivery techniques, including a weaponized Windows shortcut (LNK) file masquerading as a legitimate PDF document and embedded with full PDF content to evade user suspicion,” CYFIRMA said in a technical report.

Transparent Tribe, also called APT36, is a hacking group that’s known for mounting cyber espionage campaigns against Indian organizations. Assessed to be of Indian origin, the state-sponsored adversary has been active since at least 2013.

Cybercriminals Abuse Google Cloud Email Feature in Multi-Stage Phishing Campaign

In response to the findings, Google has blocked the phishing efforts that abuse the email notification feature within Google Cloud Application Integration, adding that it’s taking more steps to prevent further misuse.

Check Point’s analysis has revealed that the campaign has primarily targeted manufacturing, technology, financial, professional services, and retail sectors, although other industry verticals, including media, education, healthcare, energy, government, travel, and transportation, have been singled out.

“These sectors commonly rely on automated notifications, shared documents, and permission-based workflows, making Google-branded alerts especially convincing,” it added. “This campaign highlights how attackers can misuse legitimate cloud automation and workflow features to distribute phishing at scale without traditional spoofing.”

Glacier loss to accelerate, with up to 4,000 disappearing each year by 2050s

Thousands of glaciers will vanish each year in the coming decades, leaving only a fraction standing by the end of the century unless global warming is curbed, a study showed on Monday.

Government action on climate change could determine whether the world loses 2,000 or 4,000 glaciers annually by the middle of the century, according to the research.

A few degrees could be the difference between preserving almost half of the world’s glaciers in 2100—or fewer than 10%.

AI model uses social media posts to predict unemployment rates ahead of official data

Social media posts about unemployment can predict official jobless claims up to two weeks before government data is released, according to a study. Unemployment can be tough, and people often post about it online.

Researcher Sam Fraiberger and colleagues recently developed an artificial intelligence model that identifies unemployment disclosures on social media. The work is published in the journal PNAS Nexus.

Data from 31.5 million Twitter users posting between 2020 and 2022 was used to train a transformer-based classifier called JoblessBERT to detect unemployment-related posts, even those that featured slang or misspellings, such as “I needa job!” The authors used demographic adjustments to account for Twitter’s non-representative user base, then forecast US unemployment insurance claims at national, state, and city levels.

Technological Disruption: Strategic Inflection Points From 2026

By Chuck Brooks

Quantum Computing and the Dismantling of Cryptographic Foundations Quantum technology may be the most transformative long-term influence on the horizon. Although large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computers may remain years from realization, their expected influence is already transforming cybersecurity strategies. As quantum technology advances, the risk of “harvest now, decrypt later” assaults suggests that today’s encrypted sensitive data could become vulnerable in the future.

From 2026 to 2030, enterprises will increasingly recognize that cryptographic agility is vital. The move to post-quantum cryptography standards means that old systems, especially those in critical infrastructure, financial services, and government networks, need to be fully inventoried, evaluated, and upgraded.

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